Premarket Trading (Rig)
One of our new traders
took a rip in RIG premarket. So in his ripper honor I wrote the below. The below
offer some suggestions for those who wish to trade premarket profitably. They
are based upon our observations of the last ten years day trading
professionally.
1) What is my risk? Before every trade we
ask that you understand you risk. We ask that you place trades where your
reward is 5 and your risk is 1. If you cannot define your risk then you cannot
conclude that a trade offers a favorable risk versus reward. Premarket trading
is more difficult than when the market is open. Often it looks like you can
define your risk, but you really cannot. Your downside may appear to be 10
cents by viewing the inside market but it might actually be 1 point. So ask
first what your risk is before placing a premarket trade. And be fairly certain
that you truly understand your risk.
2) Less liquidity There is less liquidity
premarket than when the market is open. There is less volume. If you are wrong
it may be hard to exit your position before a rip.
3) Less size It is a good idea to
lower your size when you trade premarket. The swings will be greater so you
don’t need as much size to make a chop. But also you don’t want to take a huge
rip if you are wrong and just cannot get out of a position. Be careful
premarket and trade with less size.
4) Best to watch
premarket levels to develop and trade off of those levels a. Understand you
downside risk better b. Confirmation from the inside market Generally, I wait
to see levels develop in the premarket. I watch for a level that the stock
cannot clear, resistance, and a level that the stock cannot trade below,
support. And I watch for some volume to be done. If the stock clears an
important premarket resistance level, then I may consider getting long. But I understand
that in the premarket my downside may be greater than what appears on the
inside market. So I look for confirmation from premarket trading. And I search
for levels so that I can better understand my downside and limit my risk.
5) Are you prepared? a) Do you know the
story? b) Do you know the info from our Stock Data sheet? Look- you have to be
prepared to trade a stock premarket. You cannot sit down, look at your filters,
see that RIG is up a few points and then start trading it. You must learn its
story. You must know the information from our stock data sheet. You must be
prepared. Trading premarket can be dangerous. And you cannot do it successfully
unless you are properly prepared.
6) If I am wrong where am
I going to get out? When trading premarket, I search for a bid that I can
hit if the stock trades against me. I actually want to know who I am going to
hit if I get long and the stock trades against me. I don’t hope there is
someone that I will hit. I spot that bid. And if I am not confident that I can
hit that bid, then I do not trade. I play defense first. I must know exactly
how I can exit my stock before I get long. If I cannot clearly determine where
and how I will exit my stock, then I do not get long.
7) Don’t do this much a. almost exclusively
only if I see level
Steve trades more
premarket than I do. But that is because he knows more about the markets than I
do. He knows the story in more stocks than I do. And for the most part he does
not trade stocks premarket unless he follows them closely.
For me, I wait to see
levels develop. I look for the same unusual holds on the bid and offer that I
do when the market is open. I search for levels to trade off of. If the stock
does not trade in my favor quickly, then I exit. I reserve these trades for
special circumstances.
8) New Traders For new traders the
Premarket should be used almost exclusively to prepare for the trading day. It
is by far the most difficult time to trade because of a lack of liquidity. NYSE
stocks have virtually no liquidity in the Premarket. Spending time developing
your trading ideas between 8-9AM is potentially a much more profitable use of
your time than making Premarket trades.
Premarket RIG TRADE One of our new traders
bought RIG in the Premarket today (see the chart above). He bought the stock at
79.50 because he though it would go higher. He read their earnings report and
felt the stock would trade higher. You know what I think about that. That is
very interesting. But your own personal opinion will not make the stock trade
higher. You must wait for the inside market to confirm your bias. This new
trader did not. And the result was that he took a rip. As I write it is 1:20
EST and this trader got stopped out. He is one of our most improved new
traders. He works very hard. He will most likely become an excellent trader.
But not making trades like this.
No comments:
Post a Comment